Models and forecasting

In 1991, Scotland was approached by the Swiss to help with refining a new computer-assisted avalanche forecasting model. It needed a few modifications to take into account differences in the Scottish weather – a lot of rain. The model was based on a nearest neighbour-type statistics calculation.

At the time, research students from Edinburgh University Geography Department helped develop the model. More recently, the same team has introduced an entirely new model that is vastly superior in its forecasting ability. It is still being refined today, but is increasingly being adopted by the Swiss! One of its inventors now works at the famous Avalanche Institute in Davos.

Have a look at the SportScotland Avalanche Information website.